A Method to Predict of Future Risk Elicitation in the Software Development Projects
Akihiro Hayashi
Process Management, Global Business Service
IBM Japan

Introduction:

Recently we can observe growing interest on Risk Management in Software Development. The main objective of Risk Management is to reduce factors that will give negative influence to project, and to bring success in software development project. However, although most projects do have some form of risk management adopted, number of failure project hasn't decreased. In this paper, we first analyze real cases of software development projects that adopted risk management but failed, and identify the root cause. Then we propose a permanent monitoring agency that predicts future risks generation using quantitative data captured, with adoption in real case example.

Outline:

• Preface
• Factor that risk management doesn't succeed
  • Case Analysis of risk management failure
  • Factor Analysis of Risk Related Problems
• Forecast type risk management technique
  • Basic policy
  • Procedure of forecast management of risk by permanent risk watchdog
    • Creation of risk management ledger
    • Collection of project information
    • Quantification of risk
    • Evaluation of risk
• Evaluation of application experience and effectiveness
  • Case
  • Application evaluation
  • Evaluation of effectiveness
• Discussion
• Conclusion

Biography:

Akihiro Hayashi used to work for Motorola, Inc in Boynton Beach , Florida , U.S.A. and NTT in Tokyo , Japan . In 2006, he joined IBM Business Consulting Service and is in charge of Strategy Consulting. Recently he was transferred to IBM Japan. Here he is in charge of Process Management as Managing Consultant. He received MBA degree from Tsukuba University in 1997. He is a CMM, CMMI, and ISO/IEC 15504 Lead Assessor with PPA Method. He is also holding ISO9001 Provisional Auditor, Certified Statistician, and Certified Data Analyst Qualifications. Other hand, he has been working as a University teacher for Toyo University and Tokai University since 2001.